The literature that attempts to explain conflict espouses
numerous theories including “differences in civilization,” exclusion, poverty,
and weak institutions. Each of these
theories exhibit well-developed conceptual frameworks and attempt to offer
empirical conclusions; nevertheless, the field is inundated with contradictory
findings and to date has yet to offer clear explanations in specific regional
contexts. In fact, an alternative explanation
of conflict within the African landscape may more appropriately explain
conflict: lack of political party institutionalization.
One of the most well-known and controversial theories
concerns “differences in civilization.”
Differences in civilization include such things as language, region, ethnicity,
and nationality. Well-known authors Samuel Huntington and Donald Horowitz
assert that nations that have diverse populations are more likely to be
subsumed in frequent and extreme violence while other scholars find that
nations characterized by large dissimilar populations are uncorrelated with
increased violence. Fearon and Laitin
quantitatively find that high ethnic and religious diversity bear no direct relationship
to conflict and instead emphasize that any relationship that is found is
spurious. In contrast, others theorize poverty
is a predictor of conflict.
Ted Gurr’s Theory of Relative Deprivation essentially
declares that conflict will ensue when
some segment of the population has less than another segment and they are aware
of this imbalance in resources. In essence, Gurr believes that the difference between what a person believes that they are entitled to and what they can actually attain may be the impetus that spurs people to engage in violent conflict. Gurr’s
theory has been largely discounted as a causal mechanism of conflict because it
fails to account for weak governmental and political institutions, ethnic
concerns, or other important variables that influence violence. In fact, even
studies that empirically determine poverty to be correlated to conflict
conclude that this correlation is actually caused by weak governmental
institutions rather than the existence of weak economic conditions.
The poverty theory as well as the cultural differences
theory fail to examine the political institutions operating within any given
nation state. Recognizing this gap, two
additional theories have developed that attempt to take a more comprehensive
approach to explaining conflict:
exclusionary theory and weak institutional theory.
The exclusionary theory rests upon the claim that
patronage systems encourage leaders to engage in the full exclusion from
political participation and representation of whole ethnic populations. This sort of exclusion eventually results in
extreme discontent that is transformed into an aggrieved rebel force. In many instances the development of rebel
forces in Africa is linked to their exclusion from political representation.
Finally, the weak institutional theory asserts that
governments characterized by weak institutions are often characterized by
extreme instability. This theory is
more comprehensive than others because proponents recognize the interaction
between weak institutions and poverty, religious diversity, exclusion,
etc. One of the more interesting yet
largely unexplored concepts of weak institutions is the weak political party
systems; specifically, the role of political parties in encouraging or
discouraging conflict.
The institutionalization of political parties and
political party systems has been deemed essential to a fully functioning
representative democracy. This is
because party institutionalization ensures stability within the governmental
system such that elites and electorate believe in the legitimacy of the
governmental process. Additionally,
institutionalized party systems are generally free from patronage which
translates into party autonomy. This
independence allows the party to act in the best interest of the electorate
rather encouraging individual power seekers to be dependent upon certain “Big
Men” in order to gain increased money and power. In fact, it is argued that institutionalized
party systems ensure governmental accountability and overall democratic
stability. In many ways the
institutionalization of political parties incorporates many of the components
of traditional conflict theories and thus offers a more comprehensive measure
to examine the causes of conflict in developing regions. In order to fully understand and attempt to
mitigate the conflict it is first essential to isolate the causes of the
conflict. To be sure, evaluating party
institutionalization within Africa is no easy task as the selection of key indicators
and the accumulation of data is arduous, yet essential.
Sources:
Fearon, James D, and David D. Laitin. "Ethnicity,
Insurgency, and Civil War." American Political Science Review,
2003: 75-90.
Horowitz, Donald. Ethhnic Groups in Conflict.
Berkley: University of California Press, 1985.
Huntington, Samuel P. "The Clash of
Civilizations?" Foreign Policy, 1993: 22-49.
Lindemann, Stefan. Do Inclusive Elite Bargains
Matter? A Research Framework for Understanding the Causes of Civil War in
Sub-Saharan AFrica. Discussion Paper, Crisis States Research Centre, 2008.
Mainwaring, Scott and Mariano Tocal (2005). “Party System Institutionalizatino and Party
System Theory after the Third Wave of Democratization.” (Working Paper
#319). Retrieved from Kellogg Instituute
http://kellogg.nd.edu/publications/workingpapers/WPS/319.pdf.
Randall, Vicky and Lars Svasand. “Party Institutionalization in New
Democracies.” Party Politics, 2002:5-29.
Roessler, Philip. "The Enemy Within: Personal
Rule, Coups, and Civil War." World Politics 63, no. 2 (April 2011):
300-346.
Sambanis, Nicholas. "Poverty and the Organization
of Political Violence: A Review and some conjectures." Brookings Trade
Forum, 2004: 165-211.
van Wyk, Jo-Ansie. "Political Leaders in Africa:
Presidents, Patrons, or Profiteers." Accord Group Occassional Paper, 2007.
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